The SPC has given credence to what the NAM was eluding to yesterday. Thursday has the potential for a significant severe weather event in Dixie Alley (W TN, MS, AL, GA).
This morning the SPC gave a 30% hatched probability!
Right now, it looks like the area will remained capped for a good part of the day.
Skew-T for around Memphis TN @ 18z on Thursday:
But around 21z, the cap should erode and the atmosphere should be ripe for severe weather development.
CAPE at 00z:
Unfortunately, a lot of this will be happening overnight in areas that have been hard hit before.
Stay tuned.. I'll post more as we get closer to the event!
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